The "CEWS Explorer" is a computer simulation for the systematic exploration of alternative conflict histories and futures. It is based on the analytical framework underlying the coding procedures of the "CEWS Database". Hence the "CEWS Explorer" simulates conflicts in terms of phase sequences that are structured episodically. A comparative analysis of the cases contained in the "CEWS Database" resulted in empirically grounded distinctions of conflict phases which enable the simulation of more context-sensitive conflict sequences.
The "CEWS Explorer" is written in "MIT
Scheme" for Windows and requires the interpreter of this application
to be run. To facilitate the installation and operation of the "CEWS Explorer"
the interpreter of "MIT Scheme" is provided with the program under the
GNU
licence agreement. The "CEWS Explorer" can be downloaded for free
from here.
Instructions for the installation and operation of the "CEWS Explorer"
are provided in the manual.
Please visit also "Dangerous Liaisons", a web site that revolves around the
research of Thomas Schmalberger and offers three resources:
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"Dangerous Liaisons: A Theory of Threat Relationships in International Politics" is a doctoral dissertation that applies a penomenological approach to examine the lifeworld of foreign policy makers and the rules by which they understand and react to threats. The empirical foundation of the theory is the Cuban Missile Crisis. The dissertation can be downloaded. "Dangerous Liaisons: A Simulation of the Cuban Missile Crisis" is a computer program that resulted from the formalization of the theory developed in the dissertation. It enables the reconstruction of the Cuban Missile Crisis and development of counterfactual scenarios to explore historical what-if questions relating to threats, crises, the Cuban Missile Crisis and the Cold War. The program can be downloaded or tested as a demo. |