Three Journeys through Conflict: Narratives and Lessons

by Alker, H.R., Gurr, R.T., Rupesinghe, K.

Rowman & Littlefield Publishers

Table of Contents
      
Preface: The Origins of the CEWS Vision
I. Building Conflict Early Warning Systems 
      
1. The Challenge of Developing Conflict Early Warning Systems: A Proposal
     Hayward R. Alker, Ted Robert Gurr and Kumar Rupesinghe

2. The Double Design of the CEWS Project
     Hayward R. Alker and Thomas  Schmalberger 

3. Peacemaking and Conflict Transformation in Guatemala
     Luis Alberto Padilla 
II. Comparative Studies of Prevention Successes and Failures 

4. Could Humanitarian Crises Have Been Anticipated in Burundi, Rwanda,
    and Zaire? A Comparative Study of Anticipatory Indicators
     Barbara Harff
      
5. Escalatory Dynamics in the Moldova-Dniestr and Chechnya Conflicts
     Olga A. Vorkunova 

6. Why Are Some Ethnic Disputes Settled Peacefully, While Others Become
    Violent?: Kin-Group Conflicts in Post-Communist Europe
     Michael Lund, with Wendy Betts 

7. A Comparative Analysis of Confict Resolution in Angola and South Africa
     Vasu Gounden and Hussein Solomon

 8. Non-Conventional Diplomacy: Experiences of NGOs & People's Participation
     in Selected Peace Processes
     Sanam Anderlini, Ed Garcia, and Kumar Rupesinghe
      
9. Domestic and Transnational Strategies for Managing Separatist Conflicts:
     Four Asian Cases
     Ted Robert Gurr and Deepa Khosla 
      
III: A Prototype Information System for Early Warning Networks


10. A Comparative Look at Early Warning Indicators: PIOOM, the State
        Failures Project and CEWS Cases
      Alex P. Schmid 

11. A Synthetic Framework for Extensible Conflict Early Warning Information
       Systems
     Thomas Schmalberger and Hayward R. Alker 

12. Exploring Alternative Conflict Trajectories with the CEWS-Explorer.
     Thomas Schmalberger

Click here for supplementary tables to Chapters 11 and 12

IV: Sharing Informational Resources within Global CEW Networks 

13. Lessons from CEWS, FEWER & Other Early Warning Projects
     Kumar Rupesinghe and David Nyheim with Maha Khan
     References Index About the Contributors