Population Projections of Immigrant Generations and Length of U.S. Residence

This has been an ongoing project pursued in the Population Dynamics Research Group since 2000. Much of this work has developed new methods that are tested with the California case. Recently, however, there had been greater interest in immigration nation-wide.

Projection Reports

Generational Projections of the California Population By Nativity and Year of Immigrant Arrival

by John Pitkin & Dowell Myers

April 2012

 > Executive Summary (pdf)  > Report (pdf)  > Summary Tables from Projections (xls)

California Demographic Futures: Projections to 2030,
by Immigrant Generations, Nativity, and Time of Arrival in U.S.

by Dowell Myers, John Pitkin and Julie Park

Special Report, Population Dynamics Research Group

2005

 > Summary Report (pdf)

Demographic Futures for California

by Dowell Myers and John Pitkin

Special Report, Population Dynamics Research Group

2001

 > Full report (pdf)

Supporting Studies

Projections of the U.S. Population, 2010-2140,
by Immigrant Generations and Length of U.S. Residence for the Foreign Born

by John Pitkin and Dowell Myers

October 2011

 > Executive Summary (pdf)  > Paper (pdf)

Projections of the Population of California by Nativity and Year of Entry to the U.S.,
in Addition to Age, Sex, Race and Hispanic Origin

by John Pitkin and Dowell Myers

Presented at the 2011 Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America

April 2011

 > Paper (pdf)

Survey of Expert Opinion on Future Level of Immigration (Delphi Report)

by John Pitkin and Dowell Myers

May 2011

 > Report (pdf)

The 2010 Census Benchmark for California's Growing and Changing Population

by John Pitkin and Dowell Myers

2010 Census Year California Profile

February 2011

 > Report (pdf)

A Predictive Estimate of the 2010 Census Count for California

by John Pitkin and Dowell Myers

2010 Census Year California Profile

December 2010

 > Report (pdf)