Detlof von Winterfeldt
Professor
Ralph and Goldy Lewis Hall 312Los Angeles, CA 90089-0626
Email: winterfe@usc.edu
Phone: (213) 740-0898
Fax: (213) 821-3926
Curriculum Vita
Ph.D. in Mathematical Psychology
University of Michigan
Expertise
Decision analysis, risk analysis, environmental policy, behavioral decision research, homeland security
Biographical Sketch
For the past thirty years, Detlof von Winterfeldt, Ph.D., has been active in teaching, research, university administration, and consulting. He has taught courses in statistics, decision analysis, risk analysis, systems analysis, research design, and behavioral decision research. His research interests are in the foundation and practice of decision and risk analysis as applied to technology development, environmental risks, natural hazards and terrorism. He is the co-author or co-editor of four books or edited volumes and over 100 articles, chapters and reports on these topics. As a consultant he has applied decision and risk analysis to many management problems of government and private industry. He has served on several committees and panels of the National Science Foundation and the National Academies of Sciences (NAS), including a recent appointment to the NAS Board on Mathematical Sciences and their Applications. He is a fellow of the Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences (INFORMS) and of the Society for Risk Analysis. In 2000, he received the Ramsey Medal for distinguished contributions to decision analysis from the Decision Analysis Society of INFORMS.
Publications
Rosoff, H.and D. von Winterfeldt, "A Risk and Economic Analysis of Dirty Bomb Attacks on the Ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach"; Risk Analysis; Forthcoming
Southwell, C. and D. von Winterfeldt, "A Decision Analysis of Options to Rebuild the New Orleans Levee System" In Richardson, H., Gordon, P., and Moore, J. (Eds.) ; Risk and Economic Impacts of Hurricane Katrina London: Elgar; Forthcoming
von Winterfeldt, D., "Structuring Problems for Decision Analysis." In W. Edwards, R.F. Miles, & D. von Winterfeldt (Eds.); Advances in Decision Analysis: From Foundations to Applications New York: Cambridge University Press; Forthcoming
Keeney, R. and D. von Winterfeldt, "Practical Value Models." In W. Edwards, R.F. Miles, and D. von Winterfeldt (Eds.) ; Advances in Decision Analysis: From Foundations to Applications Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press; Forthcoming
Edwards, W., with R. Miles and D. von Winterfeldt, Advances in Decision Analysis: From Foundations to Applications; Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press; Forthcoming
Keeney, R., with K. See and D. von Winterfeldt, "Evaluating Interdiscplinary Academic Programs: Applications to U.S. Graduate Decisions Programs"; Operations Research, 25, pp. 1-16; 2006
von Winterfeldt, D. and T. O'Sullivan, "Should We Protect Commercial Airplanes Against Surface-to-air Missile Attacks by Terrorists?"; Decision Analysis, 3, pp. 63-75; 2006
von Winterfeldt, D., "A Risk and Decision Analysis Framework to Protect New Orleans Against another Katrina." In R.J. Daniels, D.F. Kettl, and H. Kunreuther (Eds.) ; On risk and disaster. Pittsburgh, PA: University of Pennsylvania Press, pp. 27-39; 2006
von Winterfeldt, D., with J. Smith, "Decision Analysis in Management Science"; Management Science, 50, (5), p. 561-574; 2004
von Winterfeldt, D., with T. Eppel, J. Adams, R. Neutra and V. DelPizzo, "Managing Electromagnetic Fields from Powerlines: A Decision Analysis Caught in Controversy"; Risk Analysis, 24 (6), pp. 1487-1502; 2004
von Winterfeldt, D., with M. Bruneau, S. Chang, R. Eguchi, G. Lee, M. O'Rourke, A. Reinhorn, "A Framework to Quantitatively Assess and Enhance Seismic Resilience of Communities"; Earthquake Spectra, 19:733-752; 2003
von Winterfeldt, D., with R. Dillon and R. John, "Assessment of Cost Uncertainties for Large Technology Projects: A Methodology and an Application"; Interfaces: An International Journal of The Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences, 32: 52-66; 2002
Funded Projects
- Center for Risk and Economic Effects of Terrorism Events (Create - Yr 3)
Principal Investigator: Detlof von Winterfeldt
Sponsor: Office of Naval Research
Amount Awarded: $1,567,169.14 - Center for Risk and Economic Effects of Terrorism Events (Yr2)
Principal Investigator: Detlof von Winterfeldt
Sponsor: Office of Naval Research
Amount Awarded: $1,454,881.71 - Center for Risk and Economic Effects of Terrorism Events (Create - Yr 4)
Principal Investigator: Detlof von Winterfeldt
Sponsor: Office of Naval Research
Amount Awarded: $1,317,718.00 - Estimating behavioral changes for transportation modes after terrorist attacks in London, Madrid and Tokyo
Principal Investigator: Detlof von Winterfeldt
Sponsor: METRANS
Amount Awarded: $89,999.00 - Seismic Rehabilitation Decision Analysis for Acute Care Facilities, Year 10
Principal Investigator: Detlof von Winterfeldt
Sponsor: State University of New York
Amount Awarded: $31,249.99