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.... a continuing project to monitor, rethink, and project housing needs. California, with its dramatic population changes and housing shortfalls, is our principal focus. Comparisons are also made to the 50 states, and important insights are drawn for the broader United Stated context. 

Inaugurated 1999

About the California Housing Futures Project

Participants and Sponsors 
Overview

Publications and Reports 

NEW! 1. Dowell Myers, "Demographic Futures as a Guide to Planning: California Latinos and the Compact City," Journal of the American Planning Association 67 (Autumn 2001): 383-97. Recipient of 2001 Award for Best Article in the Journal. (PDF file)

NEW! 2. Dowell Myers, John Pitkin, and Julie Park, "Estimation of Housing Needs Amidst Population Growth and Change," Housing Policy Debate 13,3 (Fall 2002) Links 

3. The Great Housing Collapse in California (PDF file) 

NEW! 4. Dowell Myers, "Advances in Homeownership Across the States and Generations: Continued Gains for the Elderly and Stagnation Among the Young" Fannie Mae Foundation Census Note 08 Links 

Housing Futures PowerPoint Presentation for Local Government Commission Workshop, June/July 2002 (features Inland Empire, Orange County and Los Angeles County), (PDF file)

The United States

   Analysis of Housing Changes 1990-2000

U.S. Building Permits, 1980 to 2000 (PDF file)

% of Construction that was Multi-Family in the 1990's versus the 1980's (PDF file) 

Draw Down of Vacancies as Source of Rental Housing (PDF file) 

2000 Renter Vacancy Rates by State (PDF file)

1990-2000 Change in Renter Vacancy Rates by State (PDF file)

 

Historical Trends in Homeownership: 
 
The Fannie Mae Foundation Homeownership Database
(Excel file)

The State of California

  Housing Needs: How do we know?

What is Household Formation? (PDF file)

"Need" as Market Prediction or as Policy Reference (PDF file) 

  Projected Housing Needs

Alternative Forecast Models (PDF file)

Supporting Academic Papers

  Population Projections

A Changing Population (PDF file)
Projections for the State and Four Regions

  Presentations

May.12, 2000 Great Valley Center Presentation Handout  Page1, Page 2

May.12, 2000 GVC PowerPoint (PDF file)

Sept. 18,2000 California APA in Long Beach (PDF file)

For other sources on housing needs please see

Raphael Bostic, Casden Real Estate Economics Forecast, a separate line of research in the Lusk Center for Real Estate and the School of Policy, Planning, and Development http://www.usc.edu/schools/sppd/research/casden/ external links

The Harvard Joint Center for Housing Studies http://www.jchs.harvard.edu/ external links

The California Department of Housing and Community Development http://www.hcd.ca.gov/ external links

The Fannie Mae Foundation http://www.fanniemae.com/ external links

  


School of Policy, Planning, and Development
University of Southern California
Los Angeles, California 90089-0626
Attn: Prof. Dowell Myers


Updated on Jan 29, 2005
http://www.usc.edu/schools/sppd/futures

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