What's New

The Oh Decade: Native Californians are Fast Becoming the State's Engine
   

     By Dowell Myers
    
Special to The Bee

     Published: Monday, Dec. 28, 2009 - 12:00 am | Page 11A

Big events and trends that shaped California, 2000-09

California's demographics are changing in the new century, not simply because the white share of the population is declining and the number of immigrants is growing.

The surprising news is the rise of the native-Californian majority.

Since the Gold Rush, growth of the state's population was mostly driven by outsiders moving in. San Francisco drew settlers from across the continent, China and Italy, while Long Beach became "Iowa by the sea." But most California cities, including Sacramento, reflect greater diversity in their residents' origins.

Today's principal engine of population growth is California-born. Early in this decade, native Californians surpassed the number of outsiders for the first time, and now the 19.6 million people born here make up 53.3 percent of the state's population. The milestone has attracted little attention despite its historical and economic importance.

The new homegrown majority is overwhelmingly young. Nearly three-quarters of those ages 15 to 24 are California-born.

About 38 percent of middle-aged adults - ages 45 to 54 - were born in the state, up from 21.6 percent in 1970.

How might the new native majority affect California's fortunes? [to read the full op-ed, follow this link to the Sacramento Bee:
http://www.sacbee.com/opinion/story/2423676.html

Coming Spring 2010 - The 2010 Revised Population Forecasts to 2040

   The Demographics of Proposition 13
    Large Disparities Between The Generations and The Unsustainable Effects of House Prices

     By Dowell Myers

     Executive Summary (Click to download)      Full Report (click to download)

     Sponsor: The John Randolph and Dora Haynes Foundation (September 2009)

  The New Homegrown Majority in California
    Recognizing The New Reality of Growing Commitment to The Golden State  

     By Dowell Myers, John Pitkin and Ricardo Ramirez
    
with Josie Noah, Seonghee Min, Felicity Chan and Bryce Lowery

     Executive Summary (Click to download)     Full Report (click to download)           

     Sponsor: The John Randolph and Dora Haynes Foundation (April 2009)

 

  The Gradient of Immigrant Age-at-Arrival Effects on Socioeconomic Outcomes in U.S.
     
By Dowell Myers, Xin Gao, Amon Emeka
     International Migration Review (volume 43, number 1, spring 2009)

  Immigrants' Contributions in an Aging America
     
By Dowell Myers
     Communities & Banking (volume 19, number 3, Summer 2008)

Aging Baby Boomers and the Generational Housing Bubble
     
By Dowell Myers and SungHo Ryu
     Journal of the American Planning Association (Winter 2008)

 Best Article Award, The Journal of American Planning Association  

Immigrants and Boomers: Forging a New Social Contract for the Future of America
      By Dowell Myers
      New York: Russell Sage Foundation. March 2007

      Click here for reviews and publisher information 

      NEW AWARD: recipient of the 2007 Thomas and Znaniecki Award
      for best book on immigration (American Sociological Association)

California Homeowners' Growing Stake in Infrastructure and the Future PDF file 168 KB
      By Dowell Myers, John Pitkin, and Julie Park
      April 2006

 

 

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School of Policy, Planning, and Development
University of Southern California
Los Angeles, California 90089-0626
Attn: Prof. Dowell Myers


Updated on Jan 7, 2010
http://www.usc.edu/sppd/research/popdynamics

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